Assessing the changes in drought conditions during summer in the Republic of Moldova based on RegCM simulations

Authors

  • Vera Potop Czech University of Life Sciences Prague, Czech Republic
  • Constanta Boroneant University Rovira I Virgili, Tortosa, Spain
  • Mihaela Caian Rossby Centre, SMHI, Norrköping, Sweden

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.26458/jedep.v2i3.44

Keywords:

drought, Standardized precipitation index, RegCM, climate change.

Abstract

We assess the changes in drought conditions during summer in the Republic of Moldova based on the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) calculated from monthly precipitation data simulated by the regional climatic model RegCM3. The RegCM simulations were conducted at a horizontal resolution of 10 km in the framework of EU-FP6 project -CECILIA. The domain was centered over Romania at 46°N, 25°E and included the Republic of Moldova.

References

Blenkinsop S. and Fowler H. J. (2007) Changes in European drought characteristics projected by the PRUDENCE regional climate models. Int. J. Climatol.(27), 1595-1610.

Boroneant C., Caian M., Vasile L., Cheval S., Ilie C. and Coll J. R. (2011) Summer drought analysis across Romania based on RegCM simulations. WCRP (GEWEX/CLIVAR) Workshop on Drought Predictability and Prediction in a Changing Climate: Assessing Current Capabilities, User Requirements and Research Priorities, 2-4 March, 2011, Barcelona, Spain.

http://drought.wcrpclimate.org/workshop/posters/Boroneant.pdf

Boroneant C., Caian M., Boberg F., Enculescu A. and Matei M. (2009) Weather Extremes in Romania Simulated With a High Resolution RegCM for Current and Future Climates. In: MOCA-09 Conference, Montreal, 19-29 July 2009.

http://www.moca-09.org/e/documents/IAMAS2009Program15w.pdf

Corobov R. and Overcenco A. (2007) Use of climate modeling outputs for regionalization of global climate projections. In: Problems of ecological monitoring and ecosystem modeling, Vol. XXI, St. Petersburg Gidrometeoizdat, Russian Federation, pp. 123-145

Dai A. (2011) Drought under global warming: a review. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, (2), 45-65. doi: 10.1002/wcc.81.

Giorgi F., Marinucci M. R. and Bates G.T. (1993) Development of a second generation regional climate model (RegCM2). Part I: Boundary layer and radiative transfer processes. Mon. Wea. Rev.,(121), 2794-2813.

Giorgi F, Bi X and Pal J. S. (2004a) Means, trends and interannual variability in a regional climate change experiment over Europe. Part I: present day climate (1961 -1990). Clim Dyn (22), 733-756.

Giorgi F, Bi X and Pal J. S. (2004b) Means, trends and interannual variability in a regional climate change experiment over Europe. Part II: future climate scenarios (2071 -2100). Clim Dyn (23), 839-858.

Halenka T. (2010) Cecilia - EC FP6 Project on the Assessment of Climate Change Impacts in Central and Eastern Europe. Global Environmental Change: Challenges to Science and Society in Southeastern Europe, SpringerLink, 2010, Part 3, 125-137, DOI: 10.1007/978-90-481-8695-2_11.

Lloyd-Hughes B. and Saunders M. A. (2002) A drought climatology for Europe. International Journal of Climatology, (22), 1571- 1592 . McKee T.B., Doesken N.J. and Kleist J. (1993) The relationship of drought frequency and duration to time scales. Preprints Eighth Conf on Applied Climatology Anaheim CA.

Amer Meteor Soc, pp 179-184. McKee T.B., Doesken N.J. and Kleist J. (1995) Drought monitoring with multiple time scales.

Proceedings of the Ninth Conference on Applied Climatology. Amer Meteor Soc Boston, pp 233-236.

Meehl G. A., Stocker T. F., Collins W. D., Friedlingstein P., Gaye A. T., Gregory J. M., Kitch A., Knutti R., Murphy J. M., Noda A., Raper S. C. B., Watterson I. G., Weaver A. J. and Zhao Z-C. (2007) Global climate projections. In Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Program. Cambridge, UK/New York, USA: Cambridge University Press; 2007, 747-846.

Pal J. S., Giorgi F. and Bi X. (2004) Consistency of recent European summer precipitation trends and extremes with future regional climate projections. Geophysical Research Letters, (31), L13202, doi: 10.1029/2004GL019836.

Potop V. and Soukup J. (2009) Spatiotemporal characteristics of dryness and drought in the Republic of Moldova. Theor Appl Climatol, (96), 305-318.

Potop V. (2011) Evolution of drought severity and its impact of corn in the Republic of Moldova. TheorAppl Climatol. DOI: 10.1007/s00704-011-0403-2. Vicente-Serrano SM. (2006)

Differences in spatial patterns of drought on different time scales: an analysis of the Iberian Peninsula. Water Resources Management, (20), 37-60.

Downloads

Published

2013-09-30

Issue

Section

Articles