A CGE analysis of the impact of climate change on sustainable development: the case of High Plateaux region, Algeria
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.26458/jedep.v10i1.684Keywords:
Integrated assessment, climate change, DPSIR approach, computable general equilibrium, multi-criteria analysis.Abstract
The aim of the paper is to assess the impact of climate change on sustainable development in the case of the High Plateaux region of Algeria. A baseline “climate change” scenario and an “adaptation” scenario were assessed as part of our work. The methodological approach implemented is broken down into three interconnected evaluation phases, pre-modelling phase, modelling phase and post-modelling phase. The work has shown that these complex ex-ante evaluation approaches are adaptable and applicable in the context of Algeria. Our findings indicate that climate change would have a significant impact on economic aggregates on a regional scale. It also highlighted that the calculation of a single index of the impact of environmental policies on the sustainability of arid regions confirms the hypothesis of gaining sustainability by working towards a strategy of adaptation to climate change.References
Batten .S "Climate change and the macro-economy: a critical review", Bank of England Working Paper n° 706. 2018.
Hsiang .S "Climate econometrics", Annual review of resource economics, Volume 8. 2016.
IPCC, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Climate Change 2013: The Scientific Elements, Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, [Stocker, TF, D. Qin, G.- K. Plattner, M. Tignor, SK Allen, J. Boschung, A. Nauels, Y. Xia, V. Bex and PM Midgley (eds.)], Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK and New York, NY, United States, 1535 pp. 2013.
IPCC, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Climate Change 2014: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability. Part A: Global and Sectoral Aspects, Contribution du Groupe de travail II au cinquième Rapport d’évaluation du Groupe d’experts intergouvernemental sur l’évolution du climat [Field, C.B., V.R. Barros, D.J. Dokken, K.J. Mach, M.D. Mastrandrea, T.E. Bilir, M. Chatterjee, K.L. Ebi, Y.O. Estrada, R.C. Genova, B. Girma, E.S. Kissel, A.N. Levy, S. MacCracken, P.R. Mastrandrea et L.L.White (dir. pub.)], Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, Royaume-Uni et New York, NY, États-Unis, 1132 pp. 2014a.
Dell, Melissa, Benjamin F. Jones, and Benjamin A. Olken. “Temperature and Income:
Reconciling New Cross-Sectional and Panel Estimates.” American Economic Review
(2): 198–204. 2009.
Dell, Melissa, Benjamin F. Jones, and Benjamin A. Olken. “Temperature Shocks and
Economic Growth: Evidence from the Last Half Century.” American Economic Journal:Macroeconomics 4 (3): 66–95. 2012.
IPCC, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Climate Change 2007 - The Physical Science Basis: Working Group I Contribution to the Fourth Assessment Report of the IPCC, Cambridge University Press, September. 2007a.
IPCC, In: Masson-Delmotte, V., Zhai, P., Pörtner, H.-O., Roberts, D., Skea, J., Shukla, A.P.P.R., et al. (Eds.), Global Warming of 1.5 °C An IPCC Special Report On the Impacts of Global Warming of 1.5 °C Above Pre-Industrial Levels and Related Global Greenhouse Gas Emission pathways, in the Context of Strengthening the Global Response to the Threatof Climate change, Sustainable development, and Efforts to Eradicate Poverty. 2018.
Bosello, F. et J. Zhang, Assessing climate change impacts: Agriculture, FEEM Working Papers, 94.2005 Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei, Milan, Italy. 2005.
Zhai, F., T. Lin, et E. Byambadorj, A general equilibrium analysis of the impact of climate change on agriculture in the People's Republic of China, Asian Development Review, 26(1), pp. 206-225. 2009.
Bosello, F. R. Roson, et R.S.J. Tol Economy-wide estimates of the implications of Climate change: Human health. Ecological Economics, 58(3), pp. 579-581. 2006.
Nordhaus, William.D. Expert Opinion on Climatic Change,� American Scientist, January-February 1994, vol. 82, pp. 45-51. 1994.
Nordhaus, William.D. A Question of Balance: Weighing the Options on Global Warming Policies, Yale University Press, New Haven, CT.USA. (2007).
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Journal of Economic Development, Environment and People by Authors is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.
Based on a work at http://ojs.spiruharet.ro/index.php/jedep/issue/archive.
