CLIMATE CHANGE AND THE RISK MANAGEMENT IN  SERBIAN INLAND WATERWAY TRANSPORT

Todor Backalic; Marinko Maslaric

doi:10.26458/jedep.v1i3.24

Autori

Todor Backalic Faculty of Technical Sciences, Department of Traffic Engineering Trg Dositeja Obradovica 6, Novi Sad, Serbia
Marinko Maslaric Faculty of Technical Sciences, Department of Traffic Engineering Trg Dositeja Obradovica 6, Novi Sad, Serbia

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.26458/jedep.v1i3.24

Cuvinte cheie:

climate change, risk management, water transport

Rezumat

Climate changes require special attention and global monitoring. Impacts on nature and industry are increasingly evident. Water transport could be the backbone of the future European combined transport system. Unfortunately, risks in water transport are perhaps an under researched area and consequently, this article outlines a rationale, why it is necessary to develop competence about risk in water transport. The development of the cargo transport in river traffic depends directly on technical-exploitative characteristics of the network of inland waterways. Research of navigational abilities of inland waterways always comes before building ships or making a transport schedule. Navigation characteristics of rivers have to be determined as precise as possible, especially from the aspect of determination the possible draught of vessels.River transport due to their operational business and environmental conditions faced with several risks having different degrees of consequences. Current risk assessment methods for water transport just consider some dramatic events. We present a new method for the assessment of risk and vulnerability of water transport where river depth represents a crucial part. The analysis of water level changes on Serbian rivers during the last sixty years was done.

Referințe

Arief A., Rajagopalan S., Iftekhar A. K. (2009). Supply Chain Risk Identification Using a HAZOP-Based Approach, AIChE Journal, Vol. 55, No. 6, pp. 1447.

Doubrovsky M. (2005). Ukrainian and Russian waterways and the development of European transport corridors, European transport - International journal of Transport Economics, Engineering and Law, Year X, Number 30, pp. 14-36.

White Paper: European transport policy for 2010: time to decide (2001). European Commission, Luxembourg, p. 41

Jonkeren O., Rietveld P., Ommeren Jos. van (2007). Climate Change and Inland Waterway Transport: Welfare Effects of Low Water Levels on the river Rhine, Journal of Transport Economics and Policy, Volume 41, Number 3, September 2007 , pp. 387-411(25)

Jonkeren O., Jourquin B., Rietveld P. (2009). Modal-split effects of climate change: The effect of low water levels on the competitive position of inland waterway transport in the river Rhine area, (article in press), Transportation Research Part A, 2009, cleardoi:10.1016/j.tra.2009.01.004

Kaplan S. (1997). The words of risk analysis, Risk Analysis, Vol. 17, No.4. 1997.

Norrman A., Lindroth R. (2004). Categorization of Supply Chain Risk and Risk Management in C. Brindley (Ed.), Supply chain risk, Ashgate Publishing Limited, 2004

Sulaiman O., Kader A.S.A., Saharuddin A.H. (2011). Collision Aversion Model for Inland Water Transportation: Cost Benefit Analysis Model, International Journal of Trade, Economics and Finance, Vol.2, No.1, 2010-023X

Škiljaica V., Bačkalić T. (2002). Technical-exploitative characteristics of the Danube and its influence on the development of the river-sea traffic, 6th International Conference on Traffic Science, Portoroz, Slovenia.

Škiljaica V., Bačkalić T. (2005). Navigation characteristics of the Danube and its influence on the main dimensions of the river-sea ships, Congress IMAM 2005, Lisbon, Portugal.

Škiljaica V, Bačkalić T., Škiljaica I. (2009). Determining the possible size of draught of river-sea vessels on the lower section of the Danube, 13th International Congress International Maritime Association of Mediterranean, IMAM 2009 Congress, Istanbul, Turkey, 12-15 October 2009, pp 559-564.